Thursday, January 8, 2015

Thinking, Morality, Science, and Homosexuality


Thinking, Morality, Science, and Homosexuality

Hypothesis

It is a curious phenomenon in modern society that anyone who opposes homosexuality on purely moral grounds must be an ignorant, uneducated, unthinking, anti-science bigot.  Is this conclusion warranted and/or true?

Philosophical Categories

The thinking person will immediately realize that morality and science belong to two distinct philosophical categories.  While these categories often interrelate, and often lead to the same conclusion; these categories don't always interrelate, and often lead to different conclusions, even diametrically opposed conclusions.

Choices

In this last case the thinking person faces a choice.

Consistent Morality

The thinking person may choose to believe the science; yet keep the morality, acting consistently with that morality.  They are distinct categories.  Science never compels moral action.

Inconsistent Morality

Alternatively, the thinking person may choose to believe the science; and doubt the morality, acting inconsistently with that morality.  Such a person is, at least temporarily, an immoral person.  Unless a new morality is constructed, this person will always be immoral.

Since the original morality has been so easily torn down, it is fair to ask, what was the authoritative base for that older morality?  Exactly how did that that original authority, cease to be authoritative?  Was authority misdirected and placed in a wrong object?  From a thoughtful philosophical perspective, authorities don't simply disappear.  All morality is based on authority: whether that authority is self, someone else, or something else.

This construct gives every evidence that a rebellion took place against the older authority, and replaced it with the authority of self.  This leads to the inevitable conclusion that every person must be an authority of self, in which case morality becomes so diversified that it ceases to exist.  My opinion is as authoritative and valid as yours.  You cannot impose your morality on me.  At this point there is no longer any right or wrong.  Law ceases to exist.  Self-morality always decays to amorality.

Abandoned Morality

Another alternative for the thinking person is to reject the idea of other authority and morality completely and embrace the science itself as the ultimate final authority of all that is moral and good.  This, however, leads to the same conclusion as the previous alternative; except that, now there is a pseudo-rudder authority that will lead us through the tangle of every moral decision.

How good is this pseudo-rudder?  Hypothetically speaking, there is, after all, a 75% probability that a particular medicine will cure your disease.  The same medication also has a 25% chance that it won’t cure your disease, it might even mask all of the disease symptoms, hiding it from further diagnosis and discovery.  Moreover, it might also have other significant side effects.  For example: it might have a 25% chance of causing blindness.

Every scientific experiment carries with it the risks of true positives, false positives, true negatives, and false negatives (Tp, Fp, Tn, Fn), side effects, and the like.  That is good science.  There are also things like scientific error, which is another topic for discussion.  What’s more, there is also bad science: namely fad based, fraudulent, poorly tested, inaccurately verified, or simply wrong thinking posing as science.  There is even such a thing as no science at all.  This is the sort of stuff that old wives fables and urban legends are made of: as well as many TV ads, especially those that contain the words, “but wait, there is more.”

Additionally all of science begins either with an abduction (blind guessing) or an induction (educated informed guessing).  Once the abduction or induction is stated[1], the scientist now sets out to prove that the abduction or induction is either true or false.  The conclusion is never probability 0 or probability 1.  There is always a probability, 75% for example, that the original proposition is true; and an attendant probability, 25% in this example, that the original proposition is false.[2]

Is this the sort of conclusion upon which we may build a new morality?  Is it 25% permissible to commit murder?  Why not?

Concomitant with all such probabilities is a statement of experimental error: for example, + or – 5%.  When science is used to draw conclusions, often presented as absolutes, without stating all the probabilities involved (Tp, Fp, Tn, Fn) and each of their corresponding errors, we may be sure that real science is being abused.  The conclusion must make a complete statement of all findings to be scientific.

One might fairly ask for a complete scientific explanation of beauty, history, love, music, personality, or thought, for which science has no real solutions.  The usually response is that these things correspond to the release of endorphins in the brain.  Very well, what are all the probabilities and errors that a particular release of endorphins must be identified as beauty?  How is the endorphin release associated with beauty, distinguished from the endorphin release associated with love?  Form a scientific hypothesis and experiment that produces the definition of any word.  The final lethal injection to this line of thinking is, “Prove the scientific method, using nothing but the scientific method.”

Conclusion

Having expended a great deal of thought, and not a little logic in exploring this question we are forced to conclude[3] that there is no good reason to support the original hypothesis, “It is a curious phenomenon in modern society that anyone who opposes homosexuality on purely moral grounds must be an ignorant, uneducated, unthinking, anti-science bigot.” 

This conclusion is neither warranted nor true.  Many credible scientists would far rather retain their morality, looking to an authority outside of themselves, in humble recognition of the fact that they are mere men, with very fallible powers of observation, induction, and experimental verification.

Indeed, it is scientific foolishness to abandon a moral idea on the 3% plus or minus 1% chance that it might be wrong.[4]  Science has to roll with the best available bet, especially when it exceeds 90% or 95% odds.  Below 90%, depending on the size of the error, the risks and costs of failure may be too great.  Sometimes scientists are simply forced to give it their best shot.

Mind you, we are not now discussing the genetic probabilities linked with homosexuality.  We are discussing the probabilities that we have erred in understanding authority, which is neither an abduction nor induction, but rather a deduction.  We are exploring the probabilities that either the authority is wrong, or we have misinterpreted or misunderstood that authority.  It is mindless foolishness to abandon a 97% plus or minus 1% moral shot.

Nevertheless, people will continue to believe what they wish to believe.  Frequently this has little to do with science, thought, education, knowledge, or morality: sometimes this is even contrary to all of these things.

This discussion is based on the premise that the genetic relationship or link with homosexuality is good science.  This is far from proved.  To begin with, what is the size of the experimental error, what are the risks of confounding?

We conveniently and readily overlook the fact that genetics is still an infant science.  We are far from unraveling all the mysteries locked in DNA code and structure.  Because every TV drama is resolved by immediate reference to DNA testing; because DNA testing produces precisions far above 99.99% probabilities: we assume that such testing is easy and that such probabilities apply to every result.  The reality is that the testing itself is both expensive and difficult: this is even true of blood typing.  When it comes down to identifying the function of a single chromosome or chromosome pair, the task becomes daunting.  Difficulties increase exponentially as the number of chromosomes in a correlation increases.  It takes much more than the discovery of a supposed correlation to establish a genuine relationship.  Relationship takes rigorous application of logic, and vast amounts of cross checking to establish, and even this is associated with its own probability and error.

Even if finally established as “true”, what should this say about morality?  Nothing.  On the basis of nothing, are you really going to abandon your morality?  It is not accidental that many of the greatest mathematicians, philosophers, and scientists of history were all highly committed Christians, firm in their faith, living under the absolute authority of God, committed to the morality which God commanded.




[1] The best such statements are called null hypotheses, which the scientist sets out to disprove.  The conclusion often takes the form, “There is no good reason to believe that….”
[2] Scientists, mathematicians, and engineers may not always state this negative probability, since all of them understand its necessarily implied existence, as the inevitable result of the first positive probability.  This understanding is as old as Aristotelian logic.  The correct negation of one lemma is always its contrapositive, not a new object.  The correct opposite of light is not-light, rather than darkness.  Darkness may create a new category, unless darkness is defined as the absence of light.  Such a definition ignores the possibility that forms of darkness may exist which are not the absence of light: black holes, and anti-matter, for example.  The absence of something, logically implies 0.  The whole field of the mathematics of negative numbers was invented to explain things that do not end in 0.
[3] Not scientifically; that would be jest: for we have conducted no verifying experiments.
[4] This is a gross understatement, inserted to provide a gracious benefit of doubt.  The real probabilities of falsehood are around 0.00001% or less, making the probabilities of truth 0.99999% or better, with errors approaching 0.000001% or less.
[5] If you have been blessed or helped by any of these meditations, please repost, share, or use any of them as you wish.  No rights are reserved.  They are designed and intended for your free participation.  They were freely received, and are freely given.  No other permission is required for their use.

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